- Margin is
the term used to describe a type of account in which you are
approved to borrow up to two times the available equity in your
account.
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- The cash account: If you open an account at any brokerage firm it
will be a cash account unless you sign the forms to change it
into a margin account.
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- Understanding the margin
account: The Federal Reserve determines the margin rate,
which is 50% at the present time. You are permitted to borrow
up to 50% of a stock purchase. For example, if you have $15,000
in cash you can buy up to twice that or $30,000 in stock. Your
buying power is doubled.
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- There are Advantages to using margin and there are disadvantages. We
will explore both in detail in an effort to keep you out of trouble.
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- Leverage for daytrading:
The higher priced stocks generally have larger
price swings than lower priced stocks. Therefore, higher priced
stocks are more likely to generate larger profits. For example,
if a $20 stock moves 10 percent, it would move only $2 in a day,
but if a $200 stock moves 10 percent it would move $20 in one
day. So, purchasing only 100 shares of each stock would have
a profit potential of either $200 or $2000 respectively.
- With a $15,000 cash account, you could
buy 100 shares of a $150 stock, but the same $15,000 in a margin
account would enable you to buy 100 shares of a $300 stock. This
is true leverage. And, it costs you nothing to use the margin
as long as you sell the margined stock by the end of the day.
If you hold the margined stock overnight you will be charged
interest.
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- Increased risk for holding
overnight: Holding margined
stock over night will cost you about 10% yearly interest. Consider
the additional risk holding overnight and what you get for it.
Suppose at market close you were to buy 500 shares of Intel at
a price of $60. The next morning the stock opens at $61. The
risk of holding overnight was rewarded with a $1 per share profit.
But, what do you risk for that $1 profit. Suppose overnight the
price dropped $10 instead. You are now an investor with the option
to sell the stock at $50 per share and take a $5000 loss or to
hold the stock until it comes back up to $60. Most people would
hold the stock of a solid company like Intel. So, you hold the
stock. Two weeks pass and the price has gone down to 35 and is
finally rebounding. Assume you used $15,000 in margin to buy
the stock. The leverage has worked against you because you are
now paying interest on the margined amount and you have no idea
how long you will need to continue.
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- Holding over night using
cash and no margin would enable
you to stay in that position for as long as necessary with no
additional cost. In other words, if you only bought 250 shares
to hold over night then margin interest and the possibility of
a margin call would not be involved.
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- Margin calls: A margin call is a request from your account holder
(broker) for more money to be added to your account. There are
different types of margin calls, the REG-T or Fed call, and the
minimum maintenance call. When a REG-T call is triggered, you
must add additional funds to your account or your account will
be restricted. To satisfy a minimum maintenance call you can
add funds or sell stock that is in your account.
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- How a margin call can
wipe you out! In March and
April of 2000 the market spiraled downward causing some investors
to lose ALL of their money and then some. How can
this happen? It begins with greed. I'll use an example to explain.
Suppose Fred began buying stocks in the middle of 1999 when the
NASDAQ was in an upswing. The market would dip and Fred would
buy more stock because, in an up trending market, the stock price
makes new highs after each pull back.
- Fred has a $20,000 cash account with his
$20,000 fully invested and, it is now worth $40,000. To increase
his leverage he changed his account to a margin account to increase
his buying power allowing him to acquire more stock. Fred is
now borrowing money (margin) to buy stock. Fred's account now
has a market value of $70,000 and he is paying interest on the
debit balance. He is very happy when his monthly statement arrives
because, on paper, his account value keeps rising. To take further
advantage of the bull market Fred borrows money on his house
and from his family and puts the borrowed $50,000 into the market.
His account is eventually worth $150,000.
- Fred hears on the news that there is no
end in site to the bull market. He begins buying expensive toys.
Why not? His $70,000 investment is now worth $150,000 and growing.
He is $80,000 ahead. The market makes another dip and Fred buys
another $5000 in stock , but this time instead of the market
going higher it makes a lower high. Fred thinks, "Well,
it will come back up just like it has been doing in the past,"
only this time the market goes through a massive sell off. Not
wanting to take a big loss, Fred rationalizes that the market
always comes back, so he hangs in there, but the market keeps
dropping and his account is now less than half of what it was.
In fact, Fred would lose $10,000 if he were to sell out now,
so he hangs in longer. The market continues to drop to new lows
causing his account to fall below the minimum maintenance requirement
triggering a margin call. Fred must sell all his stock and also
come up with an additional $10,000 just to pay his margin call.
Here's the really bad part. Fred has no money left. Every penny
was pumped into the market. He now has no choice but to sell
his stocks at a loss and pay off the margin call with the proceeds.
Unfortunately, he must borrow an additional $10,000 on his credit
card because the stocks sold in his account did not cover the
margin debt.
- This is a common scenario for investors
that used margin over night and were caught in the March-April
sell off. Now, Fred has no equity in his house, his bank account
is empty and he must work overtime to pay off his credit cards.
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- The Lesson: Use margin during the day to increase profit potential,
but use only the cash value in your margin account if you are
going to hold stocks over night, so you can avoid a catastrophic
loss during a market sell off.
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- Short selling: In addition to leverage, another advantage of
the margin account is being able to sell a stock short. Selling
a stock short can not be done in a cash account, only a margin
account. Selling short enables a trader to profit when stock
prices decline.
- The following
paragraph and slide are from The September newsletter!
- The slide below shows
the trend from the market high of around 5000. Notice how the
market trend can shift.
- NASDAQ Comp. as of Sept. 1,2000.
The monthly chart below shows how the
month of August hit the down trend line and closed on the high
of the month. September 1st broke through the trend line creating
a higher high for the candlestick starting in September. This
is a positive sign for the continuation of a monthly up trend.
Also, notice how the low of August was a higher low staying in
an up trend. The market is still trending upward towards its
old high of 5000.
October 2nd
As you can see below, September sold off all the way to the lower
trend line. October began by gapping up, but then selling off
through the trend line.
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- October 12th The
sell off is heading for the support. When it hits the support
line there is a 50/50 chance for a bounce to the up side or a
continuation of the bear market.
- November 3rd There
was a powerful bounce off the support. This created a double
bottom. The November candle is now touching our old trend line,
but the old trend line should be adjusted to touch the top of
the September candle. That would move it a little to the right.
If you notice an error in our newsletter, we would
appreciate your letting us know with an email
If you Can't immediately
understand the various principles when looking at these charts,
it is suggested that you enter a training program (such as ours,
of course) or read the necessary books to develop these skills.
Poor chart reading skills are similar to flying a plane with
blindfolds on. Remember, your money is counting on you!!!
Education is the key to success
in any endeavor.
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