Level = beginner

Copyright 2002 PD,LLC

5/2/2002

Don't Miss Out!

By Richard Philip Cadway
This Newsletter is not a public release - for members only
Missing out on a trade can really get a trader angry. But, besides getting angry there are other related psychological issues forming, and those issues can cause a trader to make some very costly mistakes.
One of the causes of anger from missing out on a trade is the ability one has of being able to go back and see how various trades panned out. This gives you the opportunity to beat yourself up for not doing what, after the fact, seemed so obvious. One of the terms used by traders that missed the boat is, "would'of, should'of, could'of". I've used it and you probably have to. Learn from mistakes and look for another opportunity.
It is unusual for someone to buy something and then go back after the purchase and evaluate all the choices again. Imagine if you bought a new car and then looked at all the other vehicles again a week later. Most likely you would find a better deal or wish you had purchased a different model. We do this routinely with stocks to evaluate them and so must be exposed to what we "could of" or "should of" had. Don't let it eat at you!
It's extremely important that we realize that seeing the result of trades we didn't take is part of this business and that no one is happy when they see that they have missed a great opportunity or have left a ton of money on the table by selling too soon. You must accept that this will happen and that it happens to every trader. You must not let the emotion that it generates cause you to override good judgment and enter a trade that is too risky because you are afraid you will miss out. Fear of missing out can cause bad trades.
I use the thinking that it is better to not add money to my account than it is to take too big of a risk and lose a good chunk of my money. I recommend that you study your emotional response to "missing out" and come up with a solution that works for you before you need it.
 
In the last newsletter I was talking about what we could expect from the weekly NDX chart as you see here. As you might recall, or you can go back and look at the last newsletter, we had a hammer that actually finished out the week lower as the NDX moved towards the green line of support. As Princeton's TradeTutor would teach you, a hammer reversal is most reliable after a long down trend, so its location here was an iffy place to enter a trade. A green candle after this hammer would have signaled a confirmation of a change in trend direction, but as you will see in the next chart, no green candle occurred.
This chart of May 1, 2002 shows how traders were expecting a direction change off the green support line. I know this because we have a green candle after the bounce off the green support line. Remember that this is a weekly chart. May first is a Wednesday and for the 3 days this week the last candle has, as of today, created a new support level. Of course the talk about a 30% chance of an interest rate hike will most likely send the NDX lower than the blue support line. If the NDX heads down to the support created at 1100 I expect to see a very strong bounce off that 1100 mark. Whether a bounce is caused by short covering or a real buying rally, it is a place where I want to get some money into a few popular stocks that have moved a lot during previous bounces. If the NDX breaks the 1100 support mark, I'll be looking for a quick drop and then a quick turn around to the upside. Current events play an important role here.
Here's a beauty.
While I was stock prospecting today I happened upon this stock and wanted to share this monthly chart with you. If you can read a candlestick chart you can figure this out immediately. This stock debuted at the height of our crazy bull market which explains the IPO price of $200/share. Just think, someone felt like he missed out when the price hit 300 and didn't own the stock. I guarantee that someone bought that stock at $300/share and is still holding it today at $14. You will always see opportunities you missed out on. Here is one that you can be happy you missed out buying.
 
 
There are 2 main reasons why I take the time to publish this newsletter. The first is to share my knowledge with fellow traders because I love profitable trading and the second is to introduce people to Princeton's TradeTutor courses. I put an incredible amount of time and energy into developing the TradeTutor to educate traders in our trading room. At less than $1000. it is a bargain and if you go to Princeton's TradeTutor site you will find a way to save $100.00. click here to check it out
 
Preventing just one serious mistake can easily make the TradeTutor worth more than twice it's price! And save you from serious Emotional Damage.
We have revised our training programs to be the latest and greatest and for the first time ever are making them available to everyone on a set of CD's. This is the exact same training we offered in our trading room for $2000+. Here is another plus. We are offering a FREE CD that contains the first lesson from each course. How many times have you taken a course because it sounded so good only to discover that it was not even close to what they said it was? Well, that can't happen with the TradeTutor because you get to experience how great it is as you learn from 4 Free lessons.
 
 
Click here for details about the Free 4 Lesson CD
 
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THE ARCHIVE

Investing vs Daytrading

7-1-2000

Determining Market Direction

7-29-2000

 Locating Market Highs And Lows

 9-5-2000

 The Margin Account

11-6-2000

 Trends

 12-8-2000

 Why Trust Analysts

 2/13/2001

 Trailing Stops

 3/25/2001

Chasing The Price

 5/24/2001

New Daytrading Rules 

 9/31/2001

The Parabolic Indicator 

11/16/2001

HotTrend

11/22/2001

Buy and Hold

12/24/2001

Averaging Down

2/5/2002

Trading IPO's

 2/15/2002

 Following Trends

 3/22/2002

 Don't Miss Out!

 5/2/2002

 Training Programs

 

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